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03/15/2010 - Indian Wells, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - World No. 2 Novak Djokovic barely survived his third-round match Monday at the $4.5 million BNP Paribas Open, an ATP World Tour Masters event, while world No. 3 Rafael Nadal cruised in two sets against Croatia's Mario Ancic.
The second-seeded Djokovic outlasted 25th-seeded German Philipp Kohlschreiber 6-3, 2-6, 7-6 (7-3) on the hardcourts at Indian Wells Tennis Garden. The 2008 Indian Wells titlist Djokovic staved off three match points while trailing 4-5 in the third set here on Day 5.
Djokovic prevailed in 2 hours, 35 minutes with a match-ending inside-out forehand winner. Up next for Djokovic will be 20th-seeded Croat Ivan Ljubicic.
The third seed Nadal dominated Ancic 6-2, 6-2 to also move to the fourth round. The Spaniard won 96 percent of his first serve points, 86 percent of total service points and is 4-1 all-time against Ancic.
The former top-ranked Nadal defeated Australian Open runner-up Andy Murray in last year's finale here. Nadal also captured the Indian Wells title in 2007. The six-time major champion Nadal is seeking his first title of any kind since May of last year.
Nadal got by his opponent in 1 hour, five minutes, recorded five aces and will meet either 15th-seeded John Isner or 17th-seeded Sam Querrey.
Czech Tomas Berdych, the 19th seed, maneuvered through No. 10 Fernando Verdasco of Spain in straight sets, 6-0, 6-3. Berdych will face 29th-seeded Victor Troicki in the next round.
Tough Argentine Juan Monaco, seeded 21st here, upset 11th-seeded former world No. 1 Juan Carlos Ferrero of Spain, 7-6 (7-2), 3-6, 6-3.
Croatia's Ivan Ljubicic, the 20th seed, took down unseeded Argentine Brian Dabul, 6-2, 6-3. Ljubicic will next take on Djokovic. The contest lasted 1 hour 20 minutes with Ljubicic racking up 17 aces.
Spain's Guillermo Garcia-Lopez upset No. 26 seed Thomaz Bellucci of Brazil, 4-6, 6-2, 6-1. Garcia-Lopez will face Monaco.
The men's third round will conclude here on Tuesday, including matches for world No. 1 superstar Roger Federer, a fourth-seeded Murray and seventh- seeded Wimbledon runner-up Andy Roddick. The 16-time major titlist Federer will tangle with 27th-seeded Cypriot Marcos Baghdatis.
This week's winner will collect $605,500.
<< Seton Hall women's hoops coach Mangina steps down
South Orange, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Phyllis Mangina, head women's basketball
coach at Seton Hall, has resigned, the school announced Monday.
Mangina has spent the last 25 seasons in the position at her alma mater, and
compiled a 352-36
<< Seahawks release Grant, re-signed Tapp
Kirkland, WA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Seattle Seahawks released safety Deon
Grant and re-signed defensive end Darryl Tapp Monday.
Grant ranked among the team leaders in tackles in each of his three seasons
with the club, including a
<< Huselius paces Columbus over Oilers
Columbus, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kristian Huselius played a huge role with a
goal and added three assists, as the Columbus Blue Jackets held on for a 5-3
win over the Edmonton Oilers at Nationwide Arena.
Antoine Vermette sealed the victo
<< Knicks finally win two straight, top struggling Sixers
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Danilo Gallinari finished with 21 points
to lead the New York Knicks to a 94-84 victory over the struggling
Philadelphia 76ers.
Rookie Toney Douglas added 20 points and seven assists for
Brooks sinks winning shot as Rockets stop Nuggets >>
Houston, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Aaron Brooks scored 31 points and drained the
game-winning jumper with 2.9 seconds left to lift the Houston Rockets over the
Denver Nuggets, 125-123 at the Toyota Center.
Kevin Martin added 29 points and L
Boozer, Jazz dominate reeling Wizards >>
Salt Lake City, UT (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Carlos Boozer led the way with 23 points
and nine rebounds, and the Jazz sent the reeling Wizards to their eighth
consecutive defeat, 112-89, at EnergySolutions Arena.
Deron Williams added 17 poin
Red Wings gain three-point edge on Flames >>
Calgary, AB (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tomas Holmstrom scored the game-winning goal
late in the third period, as the Detroit Red Wings edged the Calgary Flames,
2-1, in a battle between two playoff-hopeful teams at Pengrowth Saddledome.
Pavel
Quinn diplomatic about chance at earning No. 1 QB role >>
Englewood, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Brady Quinn officially became a member of the
Denver Broncos on Monday after passing his physical and was immediately
inundated with questions if he'll go into training camp trying to wrestle the
startin
(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.
Michael Vick is back, Brett Favre isn't and the NFC East remains the best division in the NFC, maybe in all of football.
As players start to gather for the start of another season, some things change and some stay the same in the world of the NFL.
The NFC East has been the dominant division in the National Conference for a while, despite limited playoff success, save for the New York Giants surprise Super Bowl win two seasons ago.
Hell, there's a generation of kids in Texas who have never seen the Cowboys win a playoff game (last win was in 1996).
But collectively, the Giants, Eagles, Cowboys and Redskins (well, maybe not so much the Redskins) are as good as a division gets in an NFC conference that has struggled to stay competitive with the AFC side.
Sports bettors have both acknowledged the NFC East's dominance, as one glance at the NFL future odds menu will show.
Looking over the NFL betting odds at online sports book MySportsbook.com we see the top three teams listed to win the NFC Championship are all from the NFC East:
Dallas Cowboys - 7 - 1
Philadelphia Eagles - 13 - 2
New York Giants - 9 - 2
Slotting in behind these three are two teams from the NFC North: the Minnesota Vikings (15-2) and the Chicago Bears (10-1).
Again, despite the lack of recent playoff success, the Dallas Cowboys are popular with the sports betting community, as they hold 14% of all the money wagered on who will win the NFC Championship.
So far, the New York Giants are the bettors' favorite to represent their conference in the Super Bowl, as they have 24% of the overall NFC Championship betting volume.
And what about the Philadelphia Eagles? For the most part, the Eagles had a very productive offseason, the kind that could bring them back to the top.
They had a good draft adding the likes of WR Jeremy Maclin and RB LeSean McCoy.
Unfortunately, the team received a blow when long-time defensive coordinator Jim Johnson passed away on Tuesday.
But this team will make a real run at the division title this year. Going into the regular season, Philly is listed at +240 to win the division.
Last season the Eagles were 9-6-1 SU and 10-6 ATS.
Teams from the NFC East will play teams from the AFC West in the regular season and the Eagles haven't really been a good bet in the last 20 games against the likes of San Diego, Oakland, K.C. and Denver, only going 8-12 ATS.
Two seasons removed from that Super Bowl title, the New York Giants see themselves listed as the odds-on favorite in NFC East championship futures at +162.
Plaxico Burress is gone and with him all the bad publicity surrounding the gun in the sweatpants incident, but can they replace him in the offense?
Last season the Giants were a very reliable bet going 12-4 ATS.
In the Giants' last 20 games against fellow teams from the NFC East; they are 13-7 ATS.
Dallas is listed at +240 to win the division.
Dallas went 9-7 SU and 7-9 ATS last season and with the amount of talent the Cowboys have, a similar performance won't do.
The Cowboys have been atrocious against divisional rivals, going 6-14 ATS in their last 20.
The Washington Redskins are longshots to win the division at +550.
Visit MySportsbook.com for free sportsbook odds RSS feeds go to MySportsbook.com for all your betting football needs.
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