Kelly, Senators handle Oilers

Hockey Betting Lines

03/10/2010 - Edmonton, AB (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chris Kelly registered a goal and an assist to lead the Ottawa Senators to a 4-1 win over the Edmonton Oilers at Rexall Place.

Mike Fisher, Matt Cullen and Milan Michalek also scored for the Senators, who opened their three-game Western Canada road trip by putting the brakes on a three-game winless skid. Brian Elliott made 18 saves in the victory.

Fernando Pisani scored the only goal for the Oilers, who saw their brief two- game win streak halted and lost for the eighth time in their last 11 games overall.

Jeff Deslauriers allowed four goals on 39 shots in the loss.

The Oilers opened the scoring at the 4:27 mark of the second period. Aaron Johnson's shot from above the left circle was saved by Elliott, but the rebound sat loose in front before Pisani cut across the top of the crease and punched home the rebound from near the left post.

With 3:42 to play in the middle stanza, the visitors knotted the contest on Kelly's 12th goal of the season. He held control of the puck behind the goal line to the right of the net and he banked the puck off the back of the pad of Deslauriers and into the back of the cage.

Cullen's power-play goal at the 8:24 mark of the third proved to be the eventual game-winner. Erik Karlsson passed from the left point across the slot for Cullen, whose blazing one-timer from the right circle lit the lamp with the help of a screen in front by Jason Spezza.

Less than two minutes later, Fisher's 21st tally of the season gave the visitors a 3-1 edge. Strong forechecking deep in the Ottawa offensive zone kept the pressure on the Oilers, who eventually committed a turnover and the puck landed on the stick of Fisher. From the inner rim of the right circle, Fisher's wrist shot beat Deslauriers near the midpoint of the stanza.

Only eight seconds after Ryan Whitney went to the penalty box for a cross- checking minor, the Sens cashed in and Michalek's 22nd tally of 2009-10 capped the scoring.

Game Notes

Ottawa defenseman Filip Kuba missed his third consecutive game with a lower- body injury...The Sens have now defeated the Oilers six straight times...Mike Comrie of Edmonton failed to score on a penalty shot in the first period...The Senators were 2-for-9 on the power play, while the hosts were scoreless on their four chances with the extra skater...Daniel Alfredsson had three assists for Ottawa.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

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